Horse Racing Bets 14th February 2024

[SAMOAN]

11.50 Greyville - HAT HOT HAT - Yet to land a blow in 4 starts, but quickly upped to the mile and really should be better than shown at 33's.

12.25 Greyville - SHOOT THE RAPIDS - Decent handicap debut ( form franked ) and remains lightly raced at 3's.

1.40 Dundalk - GIOIELLE and MISS AYTON - Gioielle has run well last 2 stars and is rightly short for this one at 3's. MA is way more speculative, but ought to do better over the mile at 100's.

2.10 Dundalk - CIRCUS ACT - First signs of life in a while last time and leading chance, if able to back that one up at 5's.

2.10 Greyville - MISS ARLBEG - Had been on the go for a while, so recent short break may be just what was needed. Drop back to 6f looks ideal and Rachel Venniker who has ridden her in all 5 stars to date keeps the ride today at 14's.

2.40 Dundalk - SOYOUNIQUE - New headgear combination reached for and chance if able to replicate old English form at 40's.

2.57 Pau - MANAKEL - Back up in trip and last C&D effort was a decent one. Back off a short break and definite EW shout at 28's.

5.00 Kempton - DANEHILL STAR - Bit more in 2 starts as a 3yo and would still expect there to be more to come at 10's.

6.00 Kempton - DEVOIRS CHOICE - Nicely bred newcomer at 16's.

 

[SAMOAN]

10.40 Greyville - RIBBONS 'N FLAGS - Doubled in price initially from 20's to 40's, but opened on course considerably shorter at 12's. Just the 8 runners so a fair EW alternative to the FAV.

 

[Sean]

4.25 Kempton - Airshow
I keep backing AIRSHOW in the hope that todays gonna be the day and im hoping , once again , that today is gonna be the day ! Hasnt won in a fair while but has run well in defeat on several occasions and i can see him going in sooner rather than later if im being honest. Was a decent 2 1/4 length third last time out over 7f at Southwell and if coming into this in the same sort of mood then i can see him going close at a decent price. Has placed on only start over this afternoons CD but has three wins (and four places) to his credit from eleven runs here at Kempton overall. Has won at the distance and the draw doesnt look too bad to me. Has won over todays distance (Southwell) and has placed a further three times from his six runs at it. Rod Millmans a trainer i like and he has a 25% strike rate over the last four weeks , whilst 3lb claimer Joe Leavy takes the steering job for the first time and he has a 19% strike rate in the last couple of weeks whilst having a 20% strike rate at the course this term. Admittedly a bit of a cliff horse for me but can make his presence felt in a race of this nature and at the price worth a go imho.

6.30 Kempton - Crystal Casque
And another Rod Millman inmate , so hopefully he can have a good day and get a brace up. CRYSTAL CASQUE came back from a 78 day lay off to win first time up , then followed that up with a poor effort when last of eight , and last time was once again last of four , only beaten 3 lengths though and in all fairness i think that was a better race than todays. To be honest hes not the most reliable of horses and can suddenly spring a surprise after a poor run so im hoping today he can follow up those last two efforts with a big run. Although others come into this in better form i think his course / distance form stands out and should hold him in good stead , three wins and three places from eleven outings over CD and five wins / eight places overall from his 27 runs. Interesting to see that Oisin Murphy is back in board tonight , could be a sign that a decent run could be on the cards , two wins and a place from his five rides to date so fingers crossed its gonna be three wins and a place from six rides after the race.

 

[Punter]

Good luck Sean, i'm also on CC in the 6.30

 

[Sean]

Cheers Punter , good luck us !

Cant seem to get a winner or run together for love nor money at the mo though

 

[Punter]

with my luck if i fell into a pool of boobies id come up sucking me thumb !

I know how you feel. I can't get one in the frame right now!

 

[SAMOAN]

7.30 Kempton - THE BAY WARRIOR - Backed up a win with a respectable effort last time ( touch outpaced ) and overall a bit big for me at a drifting 7's.