There is ah/cap at Wolver I like the of but with only 365 pricing it up, I will wait until later.
Newcastle 12.30 Dubawi Phantom 2.5 pts win
Another Ferguson runner, who has to carry a penalty up against Zaplamation, who looks a certain novice winner. If anyone can tell why he's already got a rating (112), I'd appreciate an answer.
DP's penalty effectively means he has to run to a mark of at least 119+, just to beat Zaplamation, never mind anything else in the field. However, the stable are in great form and with a triple figure flat rating, the the potential rating he needs to achieve should be well within his grasp.
I have got to admit he cannot really be assessed on pure form, unseating after 2 flights and winning a moderate novice.
The fact he was put up against 3 usual looking novices at Kempton, plus the fact that this should be run at a stronger pace than Uttox, makes me lean towards the positives.
It is a tricky race to price up and there is a decent chance he may not go off as fav, with Zaplamation taking a hefty wedge of the market and a few others you would not want to be laying at double figs.
Chink Of Light looks regressive but anythink near the proposed 320.0 b/f sp, it would have to carry something.
Newcastle 1.35 Sleep In First 1 pt win
I'm getting too cocky with these jumps bets, but Sleep In First simply looks too big in the market, even though it would be no great surprise if it drifted further, on the basis of the unknown trainer.
May need a little further but it could be a case of wanting better ground and this long straight should be more accomodating.
Ling 3.10 Hereford Boy 3.10 2 pts win @ 7/1
Typical winter h/cap were it looks to "his turn". Decent form over these conditions, hampered on several occasions recently, trainer in good form, on a winning mark, decent draw and last winning jock on board.
C/P's off is the only point of concern for me, but he looks afair bet win or lose.
Good luck
