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Saturday bets.

beamer

beamer

Moderator
Joined
Aug 8, 2011
Messages
351
Points
18
Beverley 1.55 Trymyluck 2 pts win @ 4.4

Late pick this one but she looks to have been no fluke when running above her sp @ Donny. Weak event and sire has a decent 2yo strike rate. Fav was well beaten fav lto and worth taking on again.

Impossible to know how any will handle this ground.​
Beverley 3.35 Captain Scooby 4 pts win @ 7/1

I've had a fair lump Captain Scooby in the 3.35, where he looks to have perfect conditions here, with my only real reservation being the jockey. His strike rate is poor and he really will have to be brave inside the distance and decide whether to come wide or take the far rail.

I initially thought he ran badly last time, finishing 3rd @ 9/4 fav, but the winner has won again off 7lb higher, next time out @ 50/1 and the 2nd won next race @ 5/1, off same mark. CS comes here 1lb higher but the stiffer finish should really help and he looks one of the few hold ups in the field.

Averaged 7/1 with the n/r's and decided to play this one early, simply in case the race cuts up further.
He will probably trade bigger in runner, but it's simply a case that I can't be certain of getting matched IR.​
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I'm trying to force myself to back Repeater in the 435 at Haydock. I went on and on at everyone I knew to back this beast after I saw it's first ever run and was made to look a bit of a cock when it went wide and ran 8 fucking furlongs in a 7 furlong race and Wolves and got itself beat. Luckily, it went out next time and won and I think it'll make a decent horse in time.

Three reasons not to back it today
Up to 1m 3 for the first time
Not sure to go on the ground
The fav (Gabriel the Great) is a worthy one who is likely to handle the ground.

Yet I have this nagging feeling that I'm going to regret it if I don't get on and it will be a stingier price next time if it wins this one. Price is between 3/1 and 9/2 so it's obviously as big a puzzle to the bookies as it is to me.
 
beamer said:
Beverley 1.55 Trymyluck 2 pts win @ 4.4

Late pick this one but she looks to have been no fluke when running above her sp @ Donny. Weak event and sire has a decent 2yo strike rate. Fav was well beaten fav lto and worth taking on again.

Impossible to know how any will handle this ground.​
Beverley 3.35 Captain Scooby 4 pts win @ 7/1


thanks for the tip mate
Results: 1st Captain Scooby 7/1
2nd Noodles Blue Boy 6/1
2nd Bond Fastrac 14/1



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Cheers Traeth. Race panned out perfectly. He did trade much bigger in running to plenty of money which was a bummer.


Yet I have this nagging feeling that I'm going to regret it if I don't get on and it will be a stingier price next time if it wins this one. Price is between 3/1 and 9/2 so it's obviously as big a puzzle to the bookies as it is to me.
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5.5 now ODM, but I couldn't put you off it.

The odds fav is entered by the owner rather than trainer, so sometimes don't run to form.

My only concern was why Luke Morris has not come up for the ride, as he looks the stable/ owner retained jock now.
 
beamer said:
The odds fav is entered by the owner rather than trainer, so sometimes don't run to form.

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Click to expand...

That would be some comfort if the bastard didn't place so many winners when he chooses to enter them:lol
 
Ohhh, it's got talent this one, I'm telling you.
 
I'm impressed it seemed to handle the ground. It's a quirky little shit with a mind of its own. A bit of a Mario Balotelli of the racing world but first run this season and on softer ground than it's used to, this is one to follow for a profit, trust me.
 
It ram well mate.

I need to brush up as a thought Koucash horses were pretty poor at Haydock for a local owner. He was 0/42 last season which is probably what I remembered, but he's a decent 22% up until last night for this season.
 
His strike rate will always be low because he favours running as many of his horses as he can at Chester and Haydock. You'd struggle to follow him blind as he often has three runners in the same race and you know you're going to back the wrong one.

I seem to remember that he took some horses from one yard (may have been Dandy Nicholls) because he wouldn't run them where he wanted them to be ran but, as I say, he gets plenty of winners.
 
Well done with Captain Scooby Beamer clap
 
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