J
jtw1
Guest
This is from another forum whose regular tipster attempts to proof systems using some simple criteria.
System 52 was one of those which showed some decent profit , here's the final totals together with the criteria involved -
System 52: Unbeaten Horses
Rules:
1. Bet to win on any horse that has never been beaten in any race listed in its Racing Post horse history (including non-UK races and PTP).
2. If there are two or more qualifiers in a race there is no bet for that race.
3. Unraced horses are ignored.
System applies to all UK races (Flat and NH).
Staking:
5 pts to win on each qualifier.
Logic:
It is never easy to assess the full potential of a horse that is yet to be beaten. The aim of this trial is to discover whether punters tend to underestimate these horses.
Results based on 5pt wins (200 bets)
Total stakes: 1000 pts
Total returns: 1265.02 pts
Profit +265.02 pts
Comment: Undoubtedly one of the most exciting trials so far. The 200 bets produced 62 winners (31%) and a further 52 placings meaning that 57% of the bets won or placed. The profit of 265 points from a total stake of 1000 points represented a 26.5% return.
It is clear that punters consistently underestimate the potential of these lightly-raced horses, particularly those from lower profile yards. The trial was based on SP returns so a significantly higher profit could be expected from early prices.
I think it could be worth trialling it for a few weeks
System 52 was one of those which showed some decent profit , here's the final totals together with the criteria involved -
System 52: Unbeaten Horses
Rules:
1. Bet to win on any horse that has never been beaten in any race listed in its Racing Post horse history (including non-UK races and PTP).
2. If there are two or more qualifiers in a race there is no bet for that race.
3. Unraced horses are ignored.
System applies to all UK races (Flat and NH).
Staking:
5 pts to win on each qualifier.
Logic:
It is never easy to assess the full potential of a horse that is yet to be beaten. The aim of this trial is to discover whether punters tend to underestimate these horses.
Results based on 5pt wins (200 bets)
Total stakes: 1000 pts
Total returns: 1265.02 pts
Profit +265.02 pts
Comment: Undoubtedly one of the most exciting trials so far. The 200 bets produced 62 winners (31%) and a further 52 placings meaning that 57% of the bets won or placed. The profit of 265 points from a total stake of 1000 points represented a 26.5% return.
It is clear that punters consistently underestimate the potential of these lightly-raced horses, particularly those from lower profile yards. The trial was based on SP returns so a significantly higher profit could be expected from early prices.
I think it could be worth trialling it for a few weeks